Beginning March 1st 2019 in the Hainan province of China, internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEs) will no longer be sold. The ban, which includes both petrol and diesel cars, will be the first of its kind in China. Hainan, with a population of more than 9 million residents, aims to entirely eliminate ICEs in the province by 2030 and is rapidly installing EV charging infrastructure in service of its objective.
Could this and other cities banning ICEs truly spell the end of the combustion-engine era? While some small cities have already banished ICEs from city centres, with many larger cities intending to do so in the near future, what does it mean that Hainan, an entire province, is banning the sale of ICEs? How quickly could we see sales bans elsewhere and in what year could EV infrastructure, cultural acceptance, cost, and legislation converge to create a tipping point beyond which ICE sales plummet globally? What socio-political and economic effects could this tipping point produce?
Click here to read more about ICE bans around the world.